Talk:Outmaneuver/@comment-91.193.208.115-20151207013551/@comment-212.121.145.5-20151207074857

I'll have to throw in my calculations here

3 ATK w/Predator vs. 3 DEF: 0,99 Expected Damage

3 ATK w/Predator+Focus vs. 3 DEF: 1,59 Expected Damage

3 ATK w/Predator+Focus vs. 3 DEF w/Focus: 0,91 Expected Damage

Comparing that to Outmaneuver is bascially comparing to one less die:

3 ATK vs. 2 DEF: 0,90 Expected Damage

3 ATK w/Focus vs. 2 DEF: 1,53 Expected Damage

3 ATK w/Focus vs. 2 DEF w/Focus: 1,07 Expected Damage

So yea, he/she is correct, Outmaneuver is only more efficient in special cases where the defender uses the focus token to defend himself or you only have 2 attack dice and attack focus (very slight advantage in expected damage for outmaneuver here).

Predator is always more efficient when

- You can't use a focus on your attack

- You use a focus and have 3 attack dice or more

- You don't flank the enemy

- The enemy has a pilot skill of 2 or less

- The enemy uses an evade token to defend himself.

Well written post, I just ran the numbers with my probability calculator and they back your claim up. Outmaneuver is basically a wasted card for that price, sadly.